Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 7.839194 9.092773 10.442884 12.000373 13.742661 15.626733 17.813188
2025-12-21 6.062655 7.722810 9.644756 12.015997 14.843461 18.086980 22.067910
2025-12-28 5.144395 7.037463 9.350931 12.348616 16.089098 20.559636 26.259576
2026-01-04 4.450580 6.476292 9.069120 12.569585 17.103417 22.704512 30.065356
2026-01-11 3.853648 5.936949 8.718569 12.614714 17.829758 24.460391 33.403386
2026-01-18 3.243390 5.288349 8.134529 12.265429 17.970449 25.422556 35.718561
2026-01-25 2.768746 4.765864 7.656699 11.993484 18.157122 26.407484 38.055004
2026-02-01 2.363599 4.291747 7.191605 11.682282 18.240431 27.222091 40.158327
2026-02-08 2.029198 3.883031 6.776716 11.396137 18.317769 28.002239 42.211746
2026-02-15 1.729694 3.490876 6.344444 11.038876 18.251601 28.554318 43.942061
2026-02-22 1.561875 3.300867 6.210019 11.119140 18.821599 30.014028 46.976676
2026-03-01 1.406886 3.113174 6.059205 11.155453 19.315187 31.368354 49.891279
2026-03-08 1.280530 2.964891 5.964122 11.278090 19.952719 32.967408 53.231605
2026-03-15 1.151238 2.793879 5.813015 11.293942 20.417100 34.319054 56.247874
2026-03-22 1.080013 2.728824 5.841971 11.610204 21.368551 36.430625 60.444562
2026-03-29 1.001114 2.637226 5.812893 11.820336 22.150765 38.302186 64.328338
2026-04-05 0.909232 2.505090 5.695131 11.863256 22.652757 39.748752 67.601565
2026-04-12 0.784961 2.282335 5.381947 11.531106 22.503226 40.158707 69.288383
2026-04-19 0.683639 2.096079 5.121144 11.272565 22.458483 40.722407 71.215721
2026-04-26 0.591084 1.915243 4.852341 10.976767 22.327823 41.133390 72.903418
2026-05-03 0.511862 1.753834 4.606742 10.704851 22.219546 41.567794 74.628579
2026-05-10 0.437158 1.590053 4.338004 10.365446 21.967606 41.747333 75.939574
2026-05-17 0.400495 1.524716 4.280142 10.441690 22.472024 43.201523 79.341123